Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Money is just a number.

Long time ago my first investment da lau lam roi lan dau tien toi mua co phan cua cong ty dau tien la SUNOCO va UPS ma toi da suy nghi dang do that lau ca tuan va cam thay dau khi no xuong 1 chuc. Gio toi da quen roi chuyen mua ban ve so luong lon moi ngay la chuyen thuong. Duoc vai ngan va mat vai ngan USD moi ngay la chuyen rat binh thuong vi toi chi xem tien dau tu nhu mot con so voi mau do va mau xanh.
Theo toi neu dau tu ma khong nghien cuu do la co bac nhu o VN. Neu dau tu ma co su nghien cuu thi truong mot cach can than bai ban la su dau tu that su lau dai. Hau het ca ty phu tren the gioi giau co la nho vao su dau tu chu khong fai do ho di lam. Chung ta khong bao gio thanh ty phu bang cach di lam 8 tieng moi ngay.
Phia ben phai toi co de mot so to bao ma toi thuong xem hang ngay ve thi truong chung khoang o day. Thoi diem hien tai vi su len xuong khong dong deu cua chung khoang va dong USD rat thuan tien cho mua di ban lai. Toi goi la thi truong khong on dinh khi su kien nhu vay thi se khong tot cho dau tu lau dai ma rat tot cho dau tu rat ngan hang (short term investment).
Tuan vua roi toi da bang dong USD at 1.15 hom nay nay dong USD xuong con 1.10 do du de chung minh su khong on dinh rat thich hop cho mua ban. Toi nghi USD co the xuong nua neu Trung Quoc chuyen qua dong Juan hay Euro thay vi USD de buon ban. Tuong lai se con them Chinese currency juan. Kinh te co le se tuy thuoc rat nhieu vao Trung Quoc khi Trung Quoc tro thanh number 2 export in the world. Co dieu toi hoc hoi va biet la chinh tri va kinh te thuong di doi voi nhau. Co rat nhieu cong ty giau len nho chien tranh Iraq, VN...
Va dieu nua khong nen giu bat cu mot co phan nao neu co the ban ra voi loi nhuan 10-15% minh se ban ra va se mua lai cung co phan (stocks) ma vua moi ban ra. Dieu toi quan trong fai biet luc nao la xuong thap nhat va luc nao la cao nhat de co nhung bien phap (actions). Chinh toi cung chua biet dieu nay lam vi vay toi can cu vao 10-15% profit. Va neu co phan nao xuong qua 20% cung fai ban lo (loss). No chi co gia tri tuong doi chu khong tuyet doi.
Neu nhin vao Nasdaq 6 months chart phia ben phai neu minh dau tu vao thi truong chung khoang vao thang 3, 09 den thang 7, 09 mot dong se thanh mot dong ruoi. 50% cho thoi gian rat ngan 4 thang du de chung minh dieu nay. Thang 3 toi cung qua khuyet la thap nhat cua Nasdaq tu xua den gio. Trong khi tien loi cua nha bank chi 3%-4% cho mot nam. So sanh 50% voi 4%. Hien tai toi khong biet nhg toi biet rat chac chan o thoi diem thang 3 vua roi.
Toi khong co quan trong tien vi khong fai toi la ty phu xong toi nghi voi khoi oc va 2 ban tay cua toi se tao ra no nhung tinh yeu dich than thi kho tim ra do neu minh danh mat no. Ngay toi qua day cung vat va luc dau o xu la que nguoi toi van tim duoc viec lam chi sau 2 tuan de lam boi ban cho mot nha hang o Montreal. Phai mua sam moi thu tu cai nail clipper (do can mong tay) den quan ao....dung la tao dung voi 2 ban tay trang. Vi vay khong co gi lam toi so ca.